ZacTax Consulting Services
Our sales tax forecasting service transforms your ZacTax data into probabilistic revenue projections. Know not just what to expect, but how confident you can be in those expectations.
How much sales tax revenue should we project? Too conservative and you leave money on the table. Too aggressive and you're scrambling mid-year. What if you could answer that question with data instead of intuition?
Sound familiar? These challenges plague finance teams every budget cycle.
Council wants a revenue projection. You have last year's actuals, a gut feeling about growth, and pressure to be accurate. No clear methodology to defend your number.
A major retailer is coming, maybe. Or that new mixed-use development might open in Q3. How do you factor in revenue that might or might not materialize?
You present a single number, but have no way to communicate the uncertainty. Is there a 50% chance you hit it? 90%? The budget process treats projections as certainties.
The Solution
Our consulting service turns your ZacTax data into actionable budget intelligence. Instead of one number, you get a range of outcomes with associated probabilities.
We analyze your historical collections by industry, identify patterns, and build forecasts grounded in your actual data—not generic assumptions.
Know the likelihood of hitting different revenue levels. "There's a 75% chance we'll collect at least $X" is more useful than a single point estimate.
New businesses and developments are modeled with their own uncertainty. If the Walmart might open in Q2 or Q4, the forecast reflects that timing risk.
How It Works
We handle the analysis. You get the answers.
Tell us about upcoming developments, incentive agreements, and anything else that might affect future collections. We pull the rest from ZacTax.
Our team examines industry trends, adjusts for one-time events, and builds prediction ranges for each month of your forecast window.
We run thousands of scenarios to produce a distribution of possible outcomes—not just best-case or worst-case, but the full probability spectrum.
You receive a clear report and interactive spreadsheet. Pick a budget number and instantly see the probability of achieving it.
What You Receive
Everything you need to present a defensible, data-backed revenue projection.
A clear explanation of the methodology, key findings, and budget implications—written for decision-makers, not statisticians.
Monthly projections with probability bands, fiscal year rollups, and a budget selection tool that answers "what are the odds we hit this number?"
The Budget Selection Tool
The most powerful part of the deliverable is deceptively simple: enter any budget amount, and instantly see the probability your actual collections will meet or exceed it. Use it to find the sweet spot between conservative and aggressive, or to quantify the risk of the number council is pushing for.
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Budget selection tool showing probability of reaching different revenue targets
"For years, our budget projections were educated guesses. Now I can tell council there's an 85% chance we'll hit our target, and I have the analysis to back it up. Last year we came within 2% of our median projection."
Finance Director, Texas Municipality
This city has used ZacTax forecasting for three consecutive budget cycles, improving projection accuracy each year as the model incorporates more historical data.
Common Scenarios
Clients find the service especially valuable in these situations.
Multiple projects in various stages of completion? We model each with appropriate timing and revenue uncertainty.
Heavy reliance on oil & gas, tourism, or other cyclical industries? Wider prediction intervals capture that uncertainty honestly.
Historical patterns disrupted? We identify which trends have normalized and which industries are still finding their new baseline.
The Difference
See how data-driven forecasting changes the budget conversation.
| Capability | Traditional Approach | With ZacTax Forecasting |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue projection | Single point estimate | Probability distribution |
| New development impact | Best guess timing and revenue | Range-based modeling |
| Confidence level | Unstated / implicit | Explicit probability |
| Budget defense | "This is our best estimate" | "There's X% chance of reaching this" |
| Industry-level insight | Aggregate growth assumption | Per-industry forecast ranges |
FAQ
Request a quote and we'll show you how probabilistic forecasting can transform your budget process. We'll use your actual ZacTax data to demonstrate the approach.
Or call us at 817-725-7241 | Email hey@zactax.com